{"id":459583,"date":"2024-06-01T11:24:00","date_gmt":"2024-06-01T11:24:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haftavasool.com\/haftavasool\/blog\/2024\/06\/01\/exit-polls-today-how-accurate-were-they-in-2014-and-2019-lok-sabha-polls\/"},"modified":"2024-06-01T11:24:00","modified_gmt":"2024-06-01T11:24:00","slug":"exit-polls-today-how-accurate-were-they-in-2014-and-2019-lok-sabha-polls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haftavasool.com\/haftavasool\/blog\/2024\/06\/01\/exit-polls-today-how-accurate-were-they-in-2014-and-2019-lok-sabha-polls\/","title":{"rendered":"Exit Polls Today: How Accurate Were They In 2014 And 2019 Lok Sabha Polls?"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\"Exit<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Voting for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections ends today with the conclusion of the seventh phase. Before the finals results are announced on June 4, exit polls will try to predict the outcome of the elections later this evening.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The exit polls for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections will be broadcast from 6:30 pm on June 1,\u00a030 minutes after the polling ends.<\/p>\n

The actual results for all 543 parliamentary seats will be announced by the Election Commission of India on June 4.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Warning: The exit polls do not always get it right. They have been way off the mark in the past.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Here’s a look at the exit polls projections and the actual results in Lok Sabha elections in 2014 and 2019.<\/p>\n

Exit polls in 2014 vs Actual results<\/strong><\/h2>\n

In 2014, most of the exit polls foresaw the BJP-led NDA coming to power but failed to accurately predict the landslide victory that followed.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Here’s a breakdown of how accurate were the exit poll numbers \u2013\u00a0<\/p>\n

Predictions on NDA<\/strong><\/h3>\n

1.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0India Today-Cicero: Predicted 272 seats for the NDA<\/p>\n

2.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0News 24-Chanakya: 340 seats<\/p>\n

3.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0CNN-IBN-CSDS: 280 seats\u00a0<\/p>\n

4.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0Times Now ORG: 249 seats\u00a0<\/p>\n

5.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0ABP News-Nielsen: 274 seats\u00a0<\/p>\n

6.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0NDTV-Hansa Research: 279 seats<\/p>\n

Predictions on UPA<\/strong><\/h3>\n

1.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0India Today-Cicero: Predicted 115 seats for the UPA<\/p>\n

2.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0News 24-Chanakya: 101 seats<\/p>\n

3.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0CNN-IBN-CSDS: 97 seats\u00a0<\/p>\n

4.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0Times Now ORG: 148 seats<\/p>\n

5.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0ABP News-Nielsen: 97 seats<\/p>\n

6.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0NDTV-Hansa Research: 103 seats\u00a0<\/p>\n

Actual results<\/strong><\/h3>\n

\u00b7\u00a0NDA: 336 seats; BJP won 282 seats\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00b7\u00a0UPA: 60 seats; Congress won just 44 seats<\/p>\n

Exit polls in 2019 vs Actual results<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Predictions on NDA<\/strong><\/h3>\n

1.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0India Today-Axis: 339-365 seats<\/p>\n

2.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0News 24-Today’s Chanakya: 350 seats\u00a0<\/p>\n

3.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0News18-IPSOS: 336 seats\u00a0<\/p>\n

4.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0Times Now VMR: 306 seats<\/p>\n

5.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0India TV-CNX: 300 seats<\/p>\n

6.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0Sudarshan News: 305 seats\u00a0<\/p>\n

Predictions for UPA<\/strong><\/h3>\n

1.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0India Today-Axis: 77-108 seats<\/p>\n

2.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0News 24-Today’s Chanakya: 95 seats\u00a0<\/p>\n

3.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0News18-IPSOS: 82 seats\u00a0<\/p>\n

4.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0Times Now VMR: 132 seats\u00a0<\/p>\n

5.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0India TV-CNX: 120 seats\u00a0<\/p>\n

6.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0Sudarshan News: 124 seats\u00a0<\/p>\n

Actual results<\/strong><\/h3>\n

\u00b7\u00a0NDA: Won 352 seats. BJP alone secured 303 seats.<\/p>\n

\u00b7\u00a0UPA: Won 91 seats. Congress won 52 seats.<\/p>\n

The Lok Sabha elections 2024 witnessed a direct fight between the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and the Congress-led INDIA bloc.\u00a0 The ruling BJP seeks a third straight term under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi. The BJP has set an ambitious \u201c400 paar\u201d seat target for the NDA.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[ad_1] Voting for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections ends today with the conclusion of the seventh phase. Before the finals results are announced on June 4, exit polls will try to predict the outcome of the elections later this evening.\u00a0 The exit polls for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections will be broadcast from 6:30 pm […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":459584,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[42310,532643,325597],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haftavasool.com\/haftavasool\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/459583"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haftavasool.com\/haftavasool\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haftavasool.com\/haftavasool\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haftavasool.com\/haftavasool\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haftavasool.com\/haftavasool\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=459583"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/haftavasool.com\/haftavasool\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/459583\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haftavasool.com\/haftavasool\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/459584"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haftavasool.com\/haftavasool\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=459583"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haftavasool.com\/haftavasool\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=459583"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haftavasool.com\/haftavasool\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=459583"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}